FC Cincinnati 3-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
11%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+7.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 45%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.68
-100% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
333 Passes 534
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
12.03.2025 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati CON
05.03.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
3-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
282 Passes 406
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati swept aside Tigres UANL 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day FC Cincinnati made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 43% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 57%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.00 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?

FC Cincinnati 3-0 Tigres UANL in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 37%, draw 27%, Tigres UANL 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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13 Mar 2026
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