Erbil 3-2 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Mar 2026

Erbil
3 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Al Minaa Basra
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Erbil v Al Minaa Basra — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Erbil The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra The Market 26%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
0.88 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Bad Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbil
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
20.09.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 1-3 HT 0-2 Erbil Erbil IRAK
07.03.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
REVIEW Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Erbil came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Al Minaa Basra 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Erbil against 1.00 for Al Minaa Basra.

Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra Result & Final Score

Erbil 3 - 2 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Erbil vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Erbil 48%, draw 29%, Al Minaa Basra 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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