Al Minaa Basra 1-3 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

Al Minaa Basra
1-3 HT 0-2
Erbil
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Minaa Basra vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
45%
-13.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
42%
Away Win
28%
+14.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Minaa Basra v Erbil — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.06/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.53
-14% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Minaa Basra vs Erbil Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Minaa Basra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
07.03.2025 Erbil Erbil 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Minaa Basra vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil got the better of Al Minaa Basra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Erbil as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Erbil?

Al Minaa Basra 1-3 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 31%, draw 26%, Erbil 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erbil), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Erbil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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