20/09/2025
·
20:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Al Karma vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
27%
Draw
29%
23%
Away Win
21%
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
57%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Karma v Naft — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Karma
EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY
Naft
EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% /
-16%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+21%
0.66/0.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.39/0.22
-48%
/
+44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-63%
/
+150%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
316 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
253 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Karma vs Naft Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Karma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Naft
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Karma vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Karma squeezed past Naft 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Karma vs Naft?
Al Karma 2-1 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Naft?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 50%, draw 27%, Naft 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Karma)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
20 Sep 2025