Newroz 1-2 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.48/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.36
+24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.04.2025 Newroz 2-2 HT 0-0 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan IRAK
19.12.2023 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 2-2 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Maysan edged past Newroz 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Newroz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newroz and 2.00 for Naft Maysan.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Naft Maysan?

Newroz 1-2 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newroz 41%, draw 29%, Naft Maysan 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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