Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 33% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.26
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
9%
7.01
X/2
19%
4.57
X/X
13%
4.39
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.87
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +23%
1.26/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.02
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
23.1 Crosses 14.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barcelona
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 2.17
27% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
162 Passes 593
67% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 40
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
19.02.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 2-0 HT 2-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
10.09.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 0-4 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
18.04.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 0-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
23.09.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
21.02.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 1-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
0-1
AWAY Barcelona
1.01 xG 0.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
242 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona edged past Cadiz 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cadiz had 38% of the ball to Barcelona's 62%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.01 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cadiz and 1.50 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Barcelona?

Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 24%, draw 28%, Barcelona 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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