Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 33% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.49
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
9%
15.85
X/1
12%
8.92
X/2
17%
3.9
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.36
2/X
6%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+5.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.96/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.12
-1% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 82%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
14.6 Crosses 17.3
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Real Madrid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.78 xG 1.91
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
260 Passes 531
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.01.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
05.02.2023 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
11.09.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-1 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
14.03.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 0-3 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
22.09.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 6-1 HT 3-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
24.06.2020 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
0-1
AWAY Real Madrid
0.59 xG 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 2
332 Passes 486
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid nicked a narrow win over Mallorca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Mallorca had 44% of the ball to Real Madrid's 56%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mallorca and 2.67 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Real Madrid?

Mallorca 0-1 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 27%, draw 30%, Real Madrid 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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