Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 36% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.87/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.36
+63% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
15.4 Crosses 24.8
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.03.2024 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv İSR
23.12.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-1 HT 2-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSR
05.08.2023 Hapoel Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Petah Tikva İSRTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Tel Aviv
1-1
AWAY Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.35 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 202
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
38 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Tel Aviv and Hapoel Petah Tikva couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hapoel Tel Aviv at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Hapoel Tel Aviv had 60% of the ball to Hapoel Petah Tikva's 40%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 2.35 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hapoel Tel Aviv had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 0.67 for Hapoel Petah Tikva.

What was the final score of Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Tel Aviv win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Tel Aviv 46%, draw 26%, Hapoel Petah Tikva 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hapoel Tel Aviv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSR More Israel - Ligat HaAl
13 Apr 2024
15:30 Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera Analysis →
17:45 Maccabi Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin Analysis →