Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Eran Hadera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
48%
-15.2pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.9pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.08
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.5 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.31 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
393 Passes 305
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.01.2024 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera 0-3 HT 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR
18.09.2023 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 2-0 HT 0-0 Hapoel Eran Hadera Hapoel Eran Hadera İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beitar Jerusalem
0-1
AWAY Hapoel Eran Hadera
0.84 xG 0.50
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 6
0 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
407 Passes 111
83% Pass Accuracy 56%
23 Box Touches 7
41 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Eran Hadera nicked a narrow win over Beitar Jerusalem 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Hapoel Eran Hadera made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Beitar Jerusalem had 72% of the ball to Hapoel Eran Hadera's 28%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.84 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beitar Jerusalem had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Beitar Jerusalem and 0.00 for Hapoel Eran Hadera.

What was the final score of Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 Hapoel Eran Hadera in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Eran Hadera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hapoel Eran Hadera win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Beitar Jerusalem 33%, draw 33%, Hapoel Eran Hadera 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Eran Hadera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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