Maccabi Haifa 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.81
2-3 Goals
33%
1.83
4-5 Goals
29%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
68%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin EU Bookmakers 16%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.16/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.14
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +56%
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 65%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
24.7 Crosses 9.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.98 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
432 Passes 286
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2024 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin 0-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
27.09.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-1 HT 1-1 Bnei Sakhnin Bnei Sakhnin İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1-0
AWAY Bnei Sakhnin
2.04 xG 1.60
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa edged past Bnei Sakhnin 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 45% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 55%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 2.04 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maccabi Haifa and 0.50 for Bnei Sakhnin.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Maccabi Haifa 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Bnei Sakhnin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 62%, draw 23%, Bnei Sakhnin 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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