Lausanne Sports 1-0 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.4
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.21
X/2
11%
5.93
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.08
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.49/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.22
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
15.5 Crosses 19.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zürich
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.63
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
329 Passes 411
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
23.09.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
18.09.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-2 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSVK
12.05.2022 Zürich Zürich 2-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
05.03.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
11.12.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-3 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-0
AWAY Zürich
0.93 xG 0.91
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 319
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports nicked a narrow win over Zürich 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lausanne Sports as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 46% of the ball to Zürich's 54%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.93 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lausanne Sports and 1.83 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Zürich?

Lausanne Sports 1-0 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 41%, draw 28%, Zürich 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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