St. Gallen 5-1 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.93
2-3 Goals
36%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.85
X/1
15%
3.82
X/2
8%
14.05
X/X
10%
7.72
2/1
6%
19.3
2/2
15%
9.6
2/X
9%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.4pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.6pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+11.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.08/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.46
+2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.5 Crosses 12.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Yverdon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.97 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
01.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.04.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSVK
15.04.2006 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
22.03.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
11.12.2005 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
5-1
AWAY Yverdon
3.62 xG 0.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
369 Passes 224
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen ran out comfortable winners over Yverdon 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Gallen had 60% of the ball to Yverdon's 40%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 3.62 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Gallen and 0.67 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Yverdon?

St. Gallen 5-1 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 49%, draw 23%, Yverdon 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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