RWDM 47 3-1 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.34
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.95
X/2
11%
6.04
X/X
10%
4.26
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RWDM 47 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
0.98/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.56
-50% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
17.3 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RWDM 47
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Eupen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
344 Passes 344
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 0-1 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
11.11.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 RWDM 47 RWDM 47 BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RWDM 47
3-1
AWAY AS Eupen
1.54 xG 2.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RWDM 47 beat AS Eupen 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RWDM 47 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, RWDM 47 had 57% of the ball to AS Eupen's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.54 to 2.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured AS Eupen.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for RWDM 47 and 1.00 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

RWDM 47 3-1 AS Eupen in the Belgium - Pro League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RWDM 47 vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RWDM 47 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RWDM 47 42%, draw 27%, AS Eupen 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RWDM 47) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RWDM 47) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
13 Apr 2024
19:15 Mechelen vs Westerlo Analysis →
21:45 Genk vs Cercle Brugge Analysis →