GrIFK 2-1 PEPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 13 Apr 2024

GrIFK
2-1 HT 0-0
PEPO
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.4
2-3 Goals
33%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
17%
6.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.4pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GrIFK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY PEPO EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.02/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/2.37
+21% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GrIFK
2-1
AWAY PEPO
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GrIFK vs PEPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GrIFK nicked a narrow win over PEPO 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and on the day GrIFK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, GrIFK had 44% of the ball to PEPO's 56%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of GrIFK vs PEPO?

GrIFK 2-1 PEPO in the Finland - Kakkonen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GrIFK vs PEPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEPO win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GrIFK 34%, draw 27%, PEPO 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PEPO) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEPO) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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