Reipas Lahti 1-3 Kiffen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reipas Lahti EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kiffen EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
2.05/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.27
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +66%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
494 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reipas Lahti
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kiffen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Kiffen Kiffen 2-1 HT 2-0 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti FİNKAK
27.05.2023 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti 0-0 HT 0-0 Kiffen Kiffen FİNKAK
22.10.2022 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti 5-1 HT 1-0 Kiffen Kiffen FİNKAK
24.09.2022 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti 3-0 HT 2-0 Kiffen Kiffen FİNKAK
01.07.2022 Kiffen Kiffen 1-0 HT 0-0 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti FİNKAK
31.08.2021 Reipas Lahti Reipas Lahti 1-1 HT 0-0 Kiffen Kiffen FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reipas Lahti
1-3
AWAY Kiffen
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reipas Lahti vs Kiffen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kiffen saw off Reipas Lahti 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Reipas Lahti at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reipas Lahti had 55% of the ball to Kiffen's 45%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Reipas Lahti and 0.83 for Kiffen.

What was the final score of Reipas Lahti vs Kiffen?

Reipas Lahti 1-3 Kiffen in the Finland - Kakkonen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reipas Lahti vs Kiffen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reipas Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Reipas Lahti 52%, draw 24%, Kiffen 24%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Reipas Lahti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reipas Lahti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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