OPS 1-1 TP-47 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Kakkonen, 13 Apr 2024

OPS
1-1 HT 1-0
TP-47
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.64
6+ Goals
9%
6.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.6pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OPS EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY TP-47 EU Bookmakers 43%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
2.87/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/3.40
+88% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OPS
0W-1D-1L
AWAY TP-47
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
09.08.2015 OPS OPS 0-1 HT 0-1 TP-47 TP-47 FİNKAK
24.08.2014 OPS OPS 1-1 HT 0-1 TP-47 TP-47 FİNKAK
POST-MATCH OPS vs TP-47
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OPS and TP-47 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, TP-47 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for OPS and 1.00 for TP-47.

What was the final score of OPS vs TP-47?

OPS 1-1 TP-47 in the Finland - Kakkonen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OPS vs TP-47?

Before kick-off our model rated an TP-47 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split OPS 36%, draw 26%, TP-47 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (TP-47), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (TP-47) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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