FC Seoul 2-4 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 31% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
3.79
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
5.48
X/2
18%
5.61
X/X
11%
4.12
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
9%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 5.48 — our 25% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -2%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.23
+7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
401 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.2 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.63 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
443 Passes 337
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
11.06.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
15.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
30.07.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
15.05.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
03.04.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-4
AWAY Pohang Steelers
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
530 Passes 325
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers beat FC Seoul 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Seoul had 59% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 41%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Seoul and 1.00 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers?

FC Seoul 2-4 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 41%, draw 26%, Pohang Steelers 33%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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