Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Apr 2024

Jeonbuk Motors
2-1 HT 1-0
Gwangju
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.51
6+ Goals
11%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.09
X/2
8%
7.67
X/X
11%
4.14
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
15%
6.36
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeonbuk Motors v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.66/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.45
+5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.3 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gwangju
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.23 xG 1.03
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
292 Passes 405
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.09.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
28.06.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
24.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
12.03.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
21.09.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK

Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonbuk Motors
2-1
AWAY Gwangju
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
358 Passes 405
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonbuk Motors nicked a narrow win over Gwangju 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jeonbuk Motors as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jeonbuk Motors had 45% of the ball to Gwangju's 55%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jeonbuk Motors 45%, draw 26%, Gwangju 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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