Jong Almere City 3-3 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.9pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 39%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
2.00/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.21
+61% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY GVVV
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 GVVV GVVV 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
3-3
AWAY GVVV
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City and GVVV shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 55% of the ball to GVVV's 45%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Jong Almere City 3-3 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated an GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 35%, draw 28%, GVVV 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Under 2.5
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