Porto 2-2 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Porto
2-2 HT 1-2
Famalicao
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Porto vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
24.0
X/1
23%
3.34
X/2
5%
20.3
X/X
9%
7.46
2/1
9%
24.0
2/2
9%
16.8
2/X
5%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Porto v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.38/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.89
+7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
452 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
37.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
22.1 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Porto vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Famalicao
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.61 xG 0.92
61% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
482 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 0-3 HT 0-2 Porto Porto POR
20.05.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 2-4 HT 2-2 Porto Porto POR
04.05.2023 Porto Porto 3-2 HT 1-1 Famalicao Famalicao POK
26.04.2023 Famalicao Famalicao 1-2 HT 1-1 Porto Porto POK
15.01.2023 Porto Porto 4-1 HT 3-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
23.01.2022 Porto Porto 3-1 HT 2-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR

Porto 2-2 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto
2-2
AWAY Famalicao
3.53 xG 2.09
69% Ball Possession 31%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
493 Passes 169
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
48 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Porto vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto and Famalicao couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Porto carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Porto had 69% of the ball to Famalicao's 31%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.53 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Porto and 1.17 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Porto vs Famalicao?

Porto 2-2 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Porto 61%, draw 20%, Famalicao 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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