Altay 1-3 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
64%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.96
Over 2.5
47%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.75
No
62%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
5%
+8.8pp
22%
Draw
9%
+12.3pp
64%
Away Win
85%
-21.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
30%
+23.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
70%
-23.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
32%
+5.6pp
62%
BTTS No
68%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altay EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 91%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.34/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.25
-76% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 85%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.3 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altay
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Çorum FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.05 xG 2.47
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
245 Passes 537
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
6 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
08.05.2017 Altay Altay 2-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S3-1P
04.05.2017 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Altay Altay S3-1P
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altay
1-3
AWAY Çorum FK
0.35 xG 1.38
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
260 Passes 497
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Altay vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK got the better of Altay 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altay had 37% of the ball to Çorum FK's 63%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.35 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Çorum FK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Altay and 1.67 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Altay vs Çorum FK?

Altay 1-3 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altay vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Altay 14%, draw 22%, Çorum FK 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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