Boluspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
17%
4.64
X/2
12%
6.43
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.9
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.34/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.59
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
21.4 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
299 Passes 355
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
24.04.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
05.12.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
15.04.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
10.12.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-2 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
15.02.2020 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
0.50 xG 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
378 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor squeezed past Ümraniyespor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boluspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Boluspor had 58% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 42%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.50 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boluspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boluspor and 1.50 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Boluspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 42%, draw 28%, Ümraniyespor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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