Ceske Budejovice 1-1 Teplice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Teplice EU Bookmakers 52%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.28/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.82
+27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Teplice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.66 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 217
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Teplice Teplice 5-2 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
20.04.2024 Teplice Teplice 2-2 HT 2-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
11.11.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-1 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
09.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-3 HT 0-1 Teplice Teplice ÇEK
15.10.2022 Teplice Teplice 0-2 HT 0-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
20.04.2022 Teplice Teplice 2-1 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1-1
AWAY Teplice
0.88 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
246 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs Teplice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceske Budejovice and Teplice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Teplice at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 42% of the ball to Teplice's 58%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 0.88 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Teplice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 2.17 for Teplice.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs Teplice?

Ceske Budejovice 1-1 Teplice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs Teplice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Teplice win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 28%, draw 30%, Teplice 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Teplice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Teplice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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