Sparta Prag 2-0 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.91
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-14.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
2.20/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.13
+3% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 78%
34.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.8 Crosses 13.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.92 xG 0.37
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
35 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
18.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-5 HT 0-3 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
07.04.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
29.10.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 2-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
05.02.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 4-1 HT 2-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
20.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-0
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.84 xG 0.28
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
512 Passes 240
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
39 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag beat Mlada Boleslav 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 65% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 35%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 1.84 to 0.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sparta Prag and 1.33 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Sparta Prag 2-0 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 58%, draw 23%, Mlada Boleslav 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5
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