Jablonec 1-0 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
2.59/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.76
+4% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
23.1 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
356 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.05.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 3-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
26.11.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
29.07.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-0 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
24.05.2023 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 2-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
02.04.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
1-0
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.51 xG 0.59
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
216 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec edged past FK Pardubice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jablonec had 45% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 55%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jablonec had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jablonec and 0.83 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs FK Pardubice?

Jablonec 1-0 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 58%, draw 22%, FK Pardubice 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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