Chelsea 2-2 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
25.0
X/1
16%
3.84
X/2
4%
25.0
X/X
11%
9.5
2/1
10%
22.45
2/2
7%
22.0
2/X
4%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
77%
-16.4pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.5pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
2.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.25
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
441 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
21.4 Crosses 10.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
76% Ball Possession 24%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
655 Passes 144
90% Pass Accuracy 63%
30.12.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
09.01.2011 Chelsea Chelsea 7-0 HT 3-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
24.01.2009 Chelsea Chelsea 3-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town FAK
01.04.2002 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
04.11.2001 Chelsea Chelsea 2-1 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
20.01.2001 Chelsea Chelsea 4-1 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
2-2
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.27 xG 1.07
73% Ball Possession 27%
34 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 4
507 Passes 154
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
56 Box Touches 9
47 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea and Ipswich Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea had 73% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 27%, shots finished 34-13, expected goals 2.27 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Chelsea and 0.83 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?

Chelsea 2-2 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 61%, draw 23%, Ipswich Town 16%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
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