Liverpool 2-1 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Apr 2025

Liverpool
2-1 HT 1-0
West Ham United
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Liverpool vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
14%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.51
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.85
X/1
23%
3.85
X/2
5%
18.85
X/X
10%
7.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.95
2/2
6%
16.15
2/X
6%
24.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.95 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.4pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+5.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +24%
2.39/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.00
+10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
509 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
40.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.9 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Liverpool vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
5W-1D-0L
AWAY West Ham United
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.62 xG 0.60
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
565 Passes 259
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
44 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.12.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 0-5 HT 0-3 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
25.09.2024 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
27.04.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
20.12.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 5-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNLK
24.09.2023 Liverpool Liverpool 3-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
26.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-2 HT 1-1 Liverpool Liverpool İNP

Liverpool 2-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
2-1
AWAY West Ham United
1.78 xG 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
425 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool nicked a narrow win over West Ham United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 55% of the ball to West Ham United's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.78 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Liverpool and 1.00 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs West Ham United?

Liverpool 2-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 62%, draw 22%, West Ham United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5
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İNP More England - Premier League
13 Apr 2025
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