Birmingham 0-2 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 13 Apr 2025

Birmingham
0-2 HT 0-2
Peterborough United
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Birmingham vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.29
Over Pick
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.47
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
24%
2.75
6+
13%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
11%
4.21
X/2
9%
11.55
X/X
15%
6.62
2/1 ✗
7%
20.1
2/2
12%
8.76
2/X
6%
17.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.22/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.71/0.83
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
26.0 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Birmingham vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.23 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
381 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.04.2025 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-2 Birmingham Birmingham İN1
28.09.2024 Birmingham Birmingham 3-2 HT 1-2 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
29.07.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-2 HT 3-1 Birmingham Birmingham HAZ
25.01.2022 Birmingham Birmingham 2-2 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNCL
18.09.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 2-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
23.02.2013 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL

Birmingham 0-2 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham
0-2
AWAY Peterborough United
0.73 xG 1.03
75% Ball Possession 25%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
501 Passes 103
84% Pass Accuracy 52%
31 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Birmingham vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United beat Birmingham 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Birmingham at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Birmingham had 75% of the ball to Peterborough United's 25%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.73 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Birmingham and 1.83 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Birmingham vs Peterborough United?

Birmingham 0-2 Peterborough United in the England - Futbol League Cup on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 47%, draw 27%, Peterborough United 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Birmingham) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →