Birmingham vs Peterborough United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham v Peterborough United — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham vs Peterborough United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Birmingham
HAZ
2-2
HT 0-1
Peterborough United
İNCL
3-0
HT 2-0
Birmingham
İNCL
0-2
HT 0-1
Birmingham
İNCL
1-0
HT 1-0
Peterborough United
İNCL
1-1
HT 1-0
Birmingham
İNCL
Birmingham 3-2 Peterborough United — Actual Match Statistics
Birmingham edged past Peterborough United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Birmingham had 70% of the ball to Peterborough United's 30%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Birmingham and 1.50 for Peterborough United.
What was the final score of Birmingham vs Peterborough United?
Birmingham 3-2 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham vs Peterborough United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Birmingham 51%, draw 24%, Peterborough United 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.