Bristol Rovers 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Bristol Rovers
1-2 HT 1-0
Wycombe Wanderers
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
5.27
1/2
13%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
11%
7.22
X/2
15%
4.59
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.79
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bristol Rovers v Wycombe Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.16/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.97
-25% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
17.9 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.62 xG 1.46
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
307 Passes 150
70% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.01.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-2 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
26.08.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
14.03.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
26.12.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
08.02.2020 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 HT 3-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
10.08.2019 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1

Bristol Rovers 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
1-2
AWAY Wycombe Wanderers
0.39 xG 2.02
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
197 Passes 410
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers squeezed past Bristol Rovers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 37% of the ball to Wycombe Wanderers's 63%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.39 to 2.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wycombe Wanderers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wycombe Wanderers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bristol Rovers and 2.00 for Wycombe Wanderers.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Bristol Rovers 1-2 Wycombe Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 26%, draw 28%, Wycombe Wanderers 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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