Wigan Athletic 0-0 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

Wigan Athletic
0-0 HT 0-0
Exeter City
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.65
X/2
15%
6.52
X/X
12%
4.23
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
4.96
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wigan Athletic v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-12% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 64%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.8 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Exeter City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 13
282 Passes 352
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-2 HT 0-1 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
04.11.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic FAK
21.10.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1

Wigan Athletic 0-0 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
0-0
AWAY Exeter City
1.49 xG 0.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
436 Passes 438
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic and Exeter City fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Wigan Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 49% of the ball to Exeter City's 51%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 1.49 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wigan Athletic and 0.67 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City?

Wigan Athletic 0-0 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 41%, draw 27%, Exeter City 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wigan Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
14:30 Crawley Town vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
14:30 Reading vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Birmingham vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Leyton Orient vs Wrexham Analysis →
17:00 Blackpool vs Burton Albion Analysis →