Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.41
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.41 — our 26% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
14%
3.83
X/2
7%
12.65
X/X
16%
6.14
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
9%
9.48
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +35%
1.70/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.58
-9% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 69%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
19.5 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Burton Albion
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.56 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
354 Passes 237
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-4 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNLK
10.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNTK
26.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
05.08.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
16.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
31.10.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
3-0
AWAY Burton Albion
1.03 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 11
320 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool cruised past Burton Albion 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Blackpool as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blackpool had 47% of the ball to Burton Albion's 53%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.03 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Blackpool and 0.67 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Blackpool 3-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 50%, draw 28%, Burton Albion 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
28 Sep 2024
14:30 Crawley Town vs Bolton Wanderers Analysis →
14:30 Reading vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
17:00 Birmingham vs Peterborough United Analysis →
17:00 Bristol Rovers vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →
17:00 Wigan Athletic vs Exeter City Analysis →
17:00 Leyton Orient vs Wrexham Analysis →