Burton Albion 0-4 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.33
1/2
8%
23.6
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.29
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.65
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · X/1 at 7.29 — our 18% vs market 9.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 51%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.98/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.41
+88% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
221 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Blackpool
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
245 Passes 280
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.01.2024 Blackpool Blackpool 2-1 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İNTK
26.12.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
05.08.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 2-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
16.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 1-1 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
31.10.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
26.10.2019 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-4
AWAY Blackpool
0.13 xG 3.10
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 6
300 Passes 560
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool swept aside Burton Albion 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Blackpool made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 38% of the ball to Blackpool's 62%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.13 to 3.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.17 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Blackpool?

Burton Albion 0-4 Blackpool in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 37%, draw 25%, Blackpool 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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