IK Brage 1-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.83
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
11%
4.87
X/2
13%
7.37
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
15%
5.39
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.0pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.59/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.70
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.09.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
01.04.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage and Varbergs shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Brage and 0.00 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Varbergs?

IK Brage 1-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 39%, draw 25%, Varbergs 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Brage), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →