Assyriska 1-2 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.41/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.21
-10% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.11.2024 Assyriska Assyriska 2-3 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
26.05.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 3-1 HT 2-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-2
AWAY Karlbergs BK
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK squeezed past Assyriska 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Assyriska at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Assyriska had 56% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 44%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karlbergs BK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Assyriska and 3.00 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK?

Assyriska 1-2 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 43%, draw 23%, Karlbergs BK 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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