IFK Varnamo 0-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
10%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.3
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
15%
5.93
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
14%
3.59
2/X
9%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 42%
-21% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.16/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.16
-18% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
17.1 Crosses 19.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
389 Passes 341
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-0 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
07.07.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
23.10.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 3-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
02.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
06.11.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-4 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
03.04.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
0-1
AWAY Göteborg
1.41 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 265
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg nicked a narrow win over IFK Varnamo 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 54% of the ball to Göteborg's 46%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.41 to 0.83 — the balance of chances actually favoured IFK Varnamo.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Varnamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.17 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg?

IFK Varnamo 0-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 38%, draw 29%, Göteborg 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Varnamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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