Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Apr 2025

Hammarby
2-0 HT 1-0
Djurgarden
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Hammarby vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.03 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.18
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.04
X/2
11%
6.74
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
27.5
2/2
9%
4.98
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
42%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hammarby v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.52/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.14
+45% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.4 Crosses 18.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hammarby vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
385 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.10.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
20.10.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
02.06.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-3 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
22.10.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 4-3 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
11.09.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-0
AWAY Djurgarden
2.25 xG 0.40
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
506 Passes 229
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Djurgarden 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hammarby had 65% of the ball to Djurgarden's 35%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 2.25 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hammarby and 0.50 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Djurgarden?

Hammarby 2-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 49%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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