Alcoyano 2-4 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.32/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.20
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
13.10.2024 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 0-2 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
2-4
AWAY Fuenlabrada
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada saw off Alcoyano 4-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Alcoyano had 49% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 51%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Fuenlabrada?

Alcoyano 2-4 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 45%, draw 25%, Fuenlabrada 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
13 Apr 2025
13:00 Real Union vs Lugo Analysis →
13:00 Hercules vs Merida AD Analysis →
13:00 Algeciras vs Alcorcon Analysis →
13:00 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Villarreal II Analysis →
16:30 Real Sociedad II vs FC Andorra Analysis →
18:30 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →