Hercules 0-0 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.59
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
10%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.12/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.58
-25% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Merida AD Merida AD 2-1 HT 0-0 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
0-0
AWAY Merida AD
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Merida AD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hercules and Merida AD played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Hercules at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hercules had 68% of the ball to Merida AD's 32%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Merida AD?

Hercules 0-0 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Merida AD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hercules 51%, draw 23%, Merida AD 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hercules) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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