Merida AD 2-1 Hercules — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

Merida AD
2-1 HT 0-0
Hercules
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2024/2025

Merida AD vs Hercules Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Hercules — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hercules EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -19%
1.25/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.75
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Merida AD 2-1 Hercules — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-1
AWAY Hercules
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Hercules
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD nicked a narrow win over Hercules 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merida AD had 43% of the ball to Hercules's 57%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Hercules?

Merida AD 2-1 Hercules in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Hercules?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 47%, draw 27%, Hercules 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
8 Dec 2024
14:00 Sestao River vs Arenteiro Analysis →
14:00 Barcelona II vs Celta Vigo II Analysis →
14:00 Villarreal II vs Marbella Analysis →
14:00 Ceuta vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
17:30 FC Andorra vs Osasuna II Analysis →
17:30 Real Betis II vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →