Real Union 3-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.3
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.82
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.41/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.72
+11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lugo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Lugo Lugo 3-1 HT 2-1 Real Union Real Union İS3
03.02.2024 Real Union Real Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS3
29.10.2023 Lugo Lugo 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Union Real Union İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
3-0
AWAY Lugo
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Union ran out comfortable winners over Lugo 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Real Union made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Real Union had 56% of the ball to Lugo's 44%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Union and 1.67 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Lugo?

Real Union 3-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Union 38%, draw 30%, Lugo 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Union), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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