Almeria II 1-2 Estepona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.6
Over
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Estepona The Market 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.80
+3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estepona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Estepona Estepona 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria II Almeria II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-2
AWAY Estepona
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Estepona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona squeezed past Almeria II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Estepona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Almeria II had 51% of the ball to Estepona's 49%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Estepona?

Almeria II 1-2 Estepona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Estepona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 33%, draw 28%, Estepona 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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