Estepona 0-1 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.59
Over
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II The Market 29%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.18/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.74
-16% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +62%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
0-1
AWAY Almeria II
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II edged past Estepona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Estepona had 49% of the ball to Almeria II's 51%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Almeria II?

Estepona 0-1 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estepona 46%, draw 24%, Almeria II 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estepona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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