Atletico Baleares 1-1 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.56
Over
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.70/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.37
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Elche II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Elche II Elche II 2-3 HT 2-2 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-1
AWAY Elche II
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares and Elche II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Baleares at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 54% of the ball to Elche II's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Elche II?

Atletico Baleares 1-1 Elche II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 49%, draw 26%, Elche II 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Baleares), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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