Elche II 2-3 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.51
Over
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.34
+24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche II
2-3
AWAY Atletico Baleares
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Elche II vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares squeezed past Elche II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atletico Baleares found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche II had 49% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 51%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Elche II vs Atletico Baleares?

Elche II 2-3 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche II vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Elche II 35%, draw 26%, Atletico Baleares 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Baleares) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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