Cornella 2-1 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.71
Over
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No Pick
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 15%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.22
+83% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cornella
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Badalona
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Badalona Badalona 2-3 HT 1-2 Cornella Cornella İS4
14.03.2021 Cornella Cornella 2-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
13.12.2020 Badalona Badalona 3-0 HT 2-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
02.02.2020 Badalona Badalona 0-2 HT 0-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
15.09.2019 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
2-1
AWAY Badalona
54% Ball Possession 46%
22 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cornella nicked a narrow win over Badalona 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cornella as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cornella had 54% of the ball to Badalona's 46%, shots finished 22-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cornella had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Cornella and 1.00 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Badalona?

Cornella 2-1 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cornella win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cornella 53%, draw 25%, Badalona 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cornella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cornella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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