Badalona 2-3 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.48
Over
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.14/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.71
-12% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
244 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Cornella
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2021 Cornella Cornella 2-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
13.12.2020 Badalona Badalona 3-0 HT 2-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
02.02.2020 Badalona Badalona 0-2 HT 0-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
15.09.2019 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
2-3
AWAY Cornella
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cornella squeezed past Badalona 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Badalona at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Badalona had 52% of the ball to Cornella's 48%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cornella led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Badalona and 1.25 for Cornella.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Cornella?

Badalona 2-3 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Badalona 46%, draw 28%, Cornella 26%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Badalona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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