Numancia 2-0 Real Avila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.56
Over
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
36%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Avila EU Bookmakers 20%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.67/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.87
+9% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +68%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Real Avila
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.11.2024 Real Avila Real Avila 0-0 HT 0-0 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
2-0
AWAY Real Avila
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Real Avila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia got the better of Real Avila 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Numancia had 56% of the ball to Real Avila's 44%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Real Avila?

Numancia 2-0 Real Avila in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Real Avila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Numancia 51%, draw 25%, Real Avila 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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