SD Logrones 2-1 Ejea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.62
Over
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ejea EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.55
-45% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SD Logrones
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ejea
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.01.2025 Ejea Ejea 0-1 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS4
21.02.2021 SD Logrones SD Logrones 1-0 HT 1-0 Ejea Ejea İS3
29.11.2020 Ejea Ejea 0-0 HT 0-0 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SD Logrones
2-1
AWAY Ejea
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SD Logrones vs Ejea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones squeezed past Ejea 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SD Logrones had 51% of the ball to Ejea's 49%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SD Logrones had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SD Logrones and 0.00 for Ejea.

What was the final score of SD Logrones vs Ejea?

SD Logrones 2-1 Ejea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SD Logrones vs Ejea?

Before kick-off our model rated a SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SD Logrones 45%, draw 28%, Ejea 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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