Sabadell 1-0 Pena Deportiva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 14%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.91/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.00
+3% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
443 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Pena Deportiva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 1-1 HT 1-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS4
07.01.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
1-0
AWAY Pena Deportiva
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Pena Deportiva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Pena Deportiva 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sabadell had 45% of the ball to Pena Deportiva's 55%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sabadell and 0.50 for Pena Deportiva.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Pena Deportiva?

Sabadell 1-0 Pena Deportiva in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Pena Deportiva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 61%, draw 22%, Pena Deportiva 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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